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07.08.2025 05:07 AM
2025年8月7日 英鎊/美元預測

截至昨天收盤,英鎊上升了56個基點,達到了1.3364的目標水平,這是1.3253至1.3364整固區間的上限。由於Marlin振盪器仍處於負值區域,價格突破上限的進展受到抑制,因此優先考慮的情況是價格回調至下限。

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今日,英格蘭銀行預計會將關鍵利率從4.25%下調至4.00%。我們之前指出,市場尚未完全消化此類降息,因此看跌情況仍為基礎情況。不過,如果利率保持不變,則可能開啟向1.3631(即6月13日高點)上升的通道。MACD線正在接近該水平。市場對英格蘭銀行會議的反應尚有待觀察。

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在四小時圖上,價格正在1.3364的阻力位下方盤整。Marlin震盪指標也顯示出價格在該範圍內橫向移動的跡象。然而,這種情況可能是短暫的——直到英國央行宣布貨幣政策決定為止。

Laurie Bailey,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
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